Here's where the race stands heading into Week 15.
Agreement between our model and the books on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at #1. Basketball Reference disagrees (#2). Nikola Jokic (45.64) follows at #2, trending up. Victor Wembanyama (41.09) sits at #3, cooling off.
| # | Player | MVP Score | BBRef | Books | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder
|
47.9 | #2 | #1 | – |
| 2 |
Nikola Jokic
Denver Nuggets
|
45.6 | #1 | #2 | – |
| 3 |
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs
|
41.1 | #4 | #5 | ↑1 |
| 4 |
Luka Doncic
Los Angeles Lakers
|
40.7 | #3 | #4 | ↓1 |
| 5 |
Jaylen Brown
Boston Celtics
|
34.7 | #8 | #6 | – |
| 6 |
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets
|
31.9 | #6 | – | – |
| 7 |
Donovan Mitchell
Cleveland Cavaliers
|
31.3 | – | #7 | – |
| 8 |
Kevin Durant
Houston Rockets
|
31.0 | #10 | #10 | ↑1 |
| 9 |
Karl-Anthony Towns
New York Knicks
|
29.4 | – | – | – |
| 10 |
Tyrese Maxey
Philadelphia 76ers
|
28.4 | – | #12 | – |
Sources: Basketball Reference MVP Tracker · Rotowire MVP futures, as of April 8, 2026.
31.3 PTS, 4.3 REB, 6.5 AST, 1.4 STL, 0.8 BLK
Holds the top spot for another week. Slight uptick in MVP Score (47.87 to 47.93). The gap keeps growing. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is pulling away.
28.0 PTS, 12.9 REB, 10.9 AST, 1.4 STL, 0.8 BLK
Unchanged at #2 from last week. MVP Score ticking up, from 44.64 to 45.64. Close alignment between our model, BBRef (#1), and the books (#2).
24.7 PTS, 11.4 REB, 3.0 AST, 1.0 STL, 3.1 BLK
Up 1 spot from last week (#4). Minor dip in MVP Score (41.25 to 41.09). Our model sees him higher than the consensus. BBRef has #4, books #5.
33.5 PTS, 7.7 REB, 8.3 AST, 1.6 STL, 0.5 BLK
Dropped 1 position, falling from #3. MVP Score slipped slightly, from 41.72 to 40.67. Close alignment between our model, BBRef (#3), and the books (#4).
28.8 PTS, 7.0 REB, 5.2 AST, 1.0 STL, 0.4 BLK
Steady at #5. MVP Score ticking up, from 34.1 to 34.65. Our model sees him higher than the consensus. BBRef has #8, books #6.
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