MVP Race - Closing Ranking

Articles MVP Race Update April 15, 2026
MVP RACE UPDATE Season 2025-26

The regular season is done. Here's our final MVP Race ranking.The regular season is done. Here's our final MVP Race ranking.

Our model and the books both have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at #1, but Basketball Reference ranks him #2. Nikola Jokic (46.16) and Luka Doncic (41.53) follow behind, both trending up.

# Player MVP Score BBRef Books Δ
1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder
46.7 #2 #1
2
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets
46.2 #1 #2
3
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers
41.5 #4 ↑1
4
Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs
41.3 #5 ↓1
5
Jaylen Brown Boston Celtics
34.4 #7 #6
6
Jamal Murray Denver Nuggets
32.5 #4
7
Donovan Mitchell Cleveland Cavaliers
31.5 #10 #7
8
Kevin Durant Houston Rockets
31.3 #5 #10
9
Jalen Brunson New York Knicks
29.8 #9 #9
10
Karl-Anthony Towns New York Knicks
29.5 #8 ↓1

Sources: Basketball Reference MVP Tracker · Rotowire MVP futures, as of April 15, 2026.

#1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) | MVP Score: 46.71

31.1 PTS, 4.3 REB, 6.6 AST, 1.4 STL, 0.8 BLK

No change at the top. Remains the frontrunner. Small drop in MVP Score this week (47.93 to 46.71). Still on top despite a slight dip. The lead holds.

#2 Nikola Jokic (DEN) | MVP Score: 46.16

27.7 PTS, 12.9 REB, 10.7 AST, 1.4 STL, 0.8 BLK

Steady at #2. Small gain in MVP Score this week (45.64 to 46.16). Close alignment between our model, BBRef (#1), and the books (#2).

#3 Luka Doncic (LAL) | MVP Score: 41.53

33.5 PTS, 7.7 REB, 8.3 AST, 1.6 STL, 0.5 BLK

Up 1 spot from last week (#4). Small gain in MVP Score this week (40.67 to 41.53). Missing from BBRef's tracker, but the sportsbooks place him at #4.

#4 Victor Wembanyama (SAS) | MVP Score: 41.28

24.9 PTS, 11.4 REB, 3.1 AST, 1.0 STL, 3.1 BLK

Down 1 spot from last week (#3). Small gain in MVP Score this week (41.09 to 41.28). Not ranked by Basketball Reference. The books have him at #5.

#5 Jaylen Brown (BOS) | MVP Score: 34.42

28.7 PTS, 6.9 REB, 5.1 AST, 1.0 STL, 0.4 BLK

Unchanged at #5 from last week. Minor dip in MVP Score (34.65 to 34.42). Our model sees him higher than the consensus. BBRef has #7, books #6.

Our prediction model has correctly identified 13 of the last 14 NBA MVP winners.

Our model also identifies daily value bets throughout the season. +15.3% ROI over 3 seasons of tracked results.

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