MVP Race - Week 4

Articles › MVP Race › November 11, 2026
MVP RACE Season 2026-27

Here's where the race stands heading into Week 4.

Our model, Basketball Reference and the books all agree on Luka Doncic at #1. Victor Wembanyama (55.33) sits at #2, surging. Stephen Curry (40.69) enters at #3.

# Player MVP Score BBRef Books Δ
1
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers
61.5 #1 #1 –
2
Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs
55.3 #2 #2 ↑3
3
Stephen Curry Golden State Warriors
40.7 #3 #15 –
4
Tyrese Maxey Philadelphia 76ers
38.9 #8 #7 ↓1
5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder
38.7 #10 #3 –
6
Austin Reaves Los Angeles Lakers
37.1 – – ↑1
7
Walker Kessler Los Angeles Lakers
35.1 #9 – –
8
Cooper Flagg Dallas Mavericks
34.6 #6 #9 –
9
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets
32.1 #7 #4 –
10
Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat
22.1 – #6 ↓2

Sources: Basketball Reference MVP Tracker · Rotowire MVP futures, as of November 11, 2026.

#1 Luka Doncic (LAL) | MVP Score: 61.51

39.3 PTS, 7.8 REB, 7.9 AST, 2.0 STL, 0.8 BLK

Big jump in MVP Score, from 54.68 to 61.51 (+6.83). Luka Doncic keeps building his lead at the top. The books have him at #1 (33.3%).

#2 Victor Wembanyama (SAS) | MVP Score: 55.33

30.1 PTS, 11.9 REB, 3.0 AST, 1.1 STL, 4.4 BLK

Climbed 3 positions this week, up from #5. MVP Score on the rise with a +16.2 gain (39.13 to 55.33). The books have him at #2 (31.3%). Basketball Reference has him at #2.

#3 Stephen Curry (GSW) | MVP Score: 40.69

30.6 PTS, 4.1 REB, 4.3 AST, 1.0 STL, 0.1 BLK

Enters the race at #3 this week. The books have him at #15 (0.4%). Basketball Reference has him at #3.

#4 Tyrese Maxey (PHI) | MVP Score: 38.86

26.9 PTS, 3.7 REB, 5.5 AST, 1.4 STL, 0.6 BLK

Down 1 spot from last week (#3). Significant decline in MVP Score (45.11 to 38.86, -6.25 points). The books have him at #7 (2.4%). Basketball Reference has him at #8.

#5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) | MVP Score: 38.66

29.9 PTS, 3.9 REB, 4.9 AST, 1.0 STL, 1.1 BLK

First appearance in our MVP rankings, straight in at #5. The books have him at #3 (20.0%). Basketball Reference has him at #10.

Our prediction model has correctly identified 14 of the last 15 NBA MVP winners.

Our model also identifies daily value bets throughout the season. +12.4% ROI over 3 seasons of publicly tracked results.

See today's edges
← Back to all MVP Race articles All Articles →